Altrincham 2-2 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 28% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.94
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
14%
6.0
X/2
8%
5.24
X/X
8%
5.14
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
19%
3.26
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -10%
1.87/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.65
+37% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gateshead
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 2-3 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
07.10.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 0-2 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
10.04.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 0-1 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
18.10.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 2-1 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham FAK
15.10.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 2-2 HT 1-2 Gateshead Gateshead FAK
04.10.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 1-3 HT 1-2 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
2-2
AWAY Gateshead
0 Corners 0
0 Passes 2
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham and Gateshead shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Altrincham at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Altrincham and 1.50 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Gateshead?

Altrincham 2-2 Gateshead in the England - National League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 41%, draw 25%, Gateshead 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Altrincham), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Altrincham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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