Stenhousemuir 1-0 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
2.24/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.26
+46% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
27.12.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
25.10.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
02.08.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-2 HT 1-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
05.04.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-4 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
28.12.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-3 HT 0-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
19.10.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
FAQ Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Stenhousemuir edged past Alloa Athletic 1-0 in the Scotland - 1st Division on 25 Apr 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stenhousemuir and 1.33 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic?

Stenhousemuir 1-0 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 48%, draw 24%, Alloa Athletic 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenhousemuir) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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