Stenhousemuir 1-4 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

Stenhousemuir
1-4 HT 0-1
Alloa Athletic
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.51
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
28%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 27% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stenhousemuir v Alloa Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +23%
1.66/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.51
+3% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 11.0
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
The Meetings
28.12.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-3 HT 0-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
19.10.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
17.08.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
25.07.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-3 HT 1-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKLK
14.11.2020 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 4-2 HT 0-2 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
18.11.2017 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-2 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKK
FAQ Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Alloa Athletic ran out comfortable winners over Stenhousemuir 4-1 away from home in the Scotland - 1st Division on 5 Apr 2025. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic lead the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stenhousemuir and 2.00 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic?

Stenhousemuir 1-4 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 41%, draw 27%, Alloa Athletic 32%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Stenhousemuir), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK1 More Scotland - 1st Division
5 Apr 2025
17:00 Montrose vs Arbroath Analysis →
17:00 Annan Athletic vs Queen Of The South Analysis →
17:00 Cove Rangers vs Inverness CT Analysis →
17:00 Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton Analysis →