Alloa Athletic 1-3 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 28 Dec 2024

Alloa Athletic
1-3 HT 0-1
Stenhousemuir
📅28/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Alloa Athletic vs Stenhousemuir Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.22
6+ Goals
13%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 29% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alloa Athletic v Stenhousemuir — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -18%
1.52/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.66
-3% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
5.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Alloa Athletic vs Stenhousemuir Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
17.08.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
25.07.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-3 HT 1-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKLK
14.11.2020 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 4-2 HT 0-2 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
18.11.2017 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-2 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKK
11.03.2017 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-1 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
FAQ Alloa Athletic vs Stenhousemuir
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Stenhousemuir beat Alloa Athletic 3-1 away from home in the Scotland - 1st Division on 28 Dec 2024. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic have the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Alloa Athletic and 0.83 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Stenhousemuir?

Alloa Athletic 1-3 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 43%, draw 27%, Stenhousemuir 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alloa Athletic), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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