Inverness CT 1-4 Cove Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 31% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
54%
-15.0pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.4pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.85/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.20
-54% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
211 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 177 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
2.5 Crosses 3.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inverness CT
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Cove Rangers
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
95% Pass Accuracy
2 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
09.11.2024 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-2 HT 1-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
21.09.2024 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-1 HT 0-1 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
15.04.2023 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-2 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
02.01.2023 Inverness CT Inverness CT 6-1 HT 3-1 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İKCL
15.10.2022 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
13.08.2022 Inverness CT Inverness CT 4-1 HT 2-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İKCL
POST-MATCH Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cove Rangers ran out comfortable winners over Inverness CT 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Cove Rangers made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inverness CT had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Inverness CT and 0.83 for Cove Rangers.

What was the final score of Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers?

Inverness CT 1-4 Cove Rangers in the Scotland - 1st Division on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Inverness CT 39%, draw 32%, Cove Rangers 30%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inverness CT), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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