Newport County vs Oldham Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Newport County v Oldham Athletic — Team-Based Signals
Newport County vs Oldham Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Newport County 3-2 Oldham Athletic — Actual Match Statistics
Newport County squeezed past Oldham Athletic 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
From a near-even 39% / 28% / 33% read, it was Newport County who turned the coin-flip their way.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.
The match data tells the story: Newport County had 54% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 46%, shots finished 25-11, expected goals 3.49 to 0.88 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Newport County's control.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oldham Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Newport County and 2.17 for Oldham Athletic.
Newport County vs Oldham Athletic Result & Final Score
Newport County 3 - 2 Oldham Athletic in the England - 2nd Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Newport County vs Oldham Athletic Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Newport County win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Newport County 39%, draw 28%, Oldham Athletic 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newport County), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.