Colchester vs Notts County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Colchester v Notts County — Team-Based Signals
Colchester vs Notts County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Colchester 0-1 Notts County — Actual Match Statistics
Notts County shaded a tight game against Colchester 1-0 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Notts County as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, possession split 51% to 49% in Colchester's favour, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.51 to 2.21 — on chances created, Notts County won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colchester had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Colchester against 1.50 for Notts County.
Colchester vs Notts County Result & Final Score
Colchester 0 - 1 Notts County in the England - 2nd Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Colchester vs Notts County Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Colchester 32%, draw 27%, Notts County 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notts County) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.