Grimsby Town 4-0 Swindon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.1
Over Pick
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.64
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
20%
3.77
2-3
45%
1.78
4-5
27%
2.94
6+
8%
9.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.24
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
18%
4.39
X/2
7%
8.89
X/X
13%
5.46
2/1
4%
21.4
2/2
11%
6.65
2/X
5%
14.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.4 — our 4% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Grimsby Town The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Town The Market 26%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.00 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.23
0.99 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.98
Average Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Weak
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
380 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 68%
28 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grimsby Town
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Swindon Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.40 xG 2.34
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
235 Passes 254
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2025 Swindon Town Swindon Town 2-2 HT 2-2 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
18.04.2025 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-4 HT 0-2 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
21.12.2024 Swindon Town Swindon Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
30.09.2023 Swindon Town Swindon Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
14.01.2023 Swindon Town Swindon Town 5-0 HT 1-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
24.09.2022 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-2 HT 1-2 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grimsby Town
4 - 0
AWAY Swindon Town
1.82 xG 0.62
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
129 Passes 284
51% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Grimsby Town vs Swindon Town
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Grimsby Town overpowered Swindon Town 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Grimsby Town as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

By the numbers, Swindon Town saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.82 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swindon Town led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Grimsby Town against 3.00 for Swindon Town.

Grimsby Town vs Swindon Town Result & Final Score

Grimsby Town 4 - 0 Swindon Town in the England - 2nd Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Grimsby Town vs Swindon Town Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 57%, draw 23%, Swindon Town 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grimsby Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Grimsby Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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