Chesterfield 2-0 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.1
Over
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.72
No
45%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.79
2-3
45%
1.78
4-5
26%
2.92
6+
8%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.96
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
4%
15.05
X/1
20%
4.09
X/2
6%
10.65
X/X
12%
5.9
2/1
3%
21.0
2/2
9%
8.37
2/X
4%
16.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.0 — our 3% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Chesterfield The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra The Market 21%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.10 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.03
1.09 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.88
Weak Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
31 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesterfield
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.15 xG 2.18
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
444 Passes 249
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2025 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-3 HT 1-2 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
02.09.2025 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 7-1 HT 4-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İNTK
01.03.2025 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-3 HT 0-2 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
17.08.2024 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-5 HT 0-4 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
26.12.2017 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-2 HT 0-2 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
09.09.2017 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 5-1 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesterfield
2 - 0
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.61 xG 0.22
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 3
329 Passes 288
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 12
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Chesterfield vs Crewe Alexandra
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Chesterfield saw off Crewe Alexandra 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Chesterfield as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 52% to 48% in Chesterfield's favour, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.61 to 0.22.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Chesterfield against 3.33 for Crewe Alexandra.

Chesterfield vs Crewe Alexandra Result & Final Score

Chesterfield 2 - 0 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Chesterfield vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 63%, draw 20%, Crewe Alexandra 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesterfield) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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