Borneo FC 3-0 Semen Padang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.33
Draw
15%
4.95
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
70%
+0.2pp
15%
Draw
17%
-1.4pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.3pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borneo FC EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Semen Padang EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -7%
1.81/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.92
-10% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borneo FC
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Semen Padang
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2025 Semen Padang Semen Padang 0-2 HT 0-1 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
14.01.2025 Borneo FC Borneo FC 1-3 HT 1-0 Semen Padang Semen Padang ENDL1
12.08.2024 Semen Padang Semen Padang 1-3 HT 0-2 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
17.12.2019 Semen Padang Semen Padang 1-1 HT 0-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
08.01.2015 Semen Padang Semen Padang 2-0 HT 1-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC HAZ
POST-MATCH Borneo FC vs Semen Padang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borneo FC cruised past Semen Padang 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Borneo FC as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Borneo FC and 1.40 for Semen Padang.

What was the final score of Borneo FC vs Semen Padang?

Borneo FC 3-0 Semen Padang in the Indonesia League 1 on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borneo FC vs Semen Padang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borneo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Borneo FC 71%, draw 15%, Semen Padang 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borneo FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Borneo FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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