Madura United vs Dewa United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Madura United v Dewa United — Team-Based Signals
Madura United vs Dewa United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Madura United
ENDL1
1-0
HT 1-0
Dewa United
ENDL1
Madura United 1-2 Dewa United — Actual Match Statistics
Dewa United edged past Madura United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dewa United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Madura United had 53% of the ball to Dewa United's 47%, shots finished 9-18.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Madura United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Madura United and 1.00 for Dewa United.
What was the final score of Madura United vs Dewa United?
Madura United 1-2 Dewa United in the Indonesia League 1 on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Madura United vs Dewa United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Dewa United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Madura United 34%, draw 23%, Dewa United 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dewa United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.