Daejeon Korail 1-0 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒08:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
0.91/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.97
-23% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Korail
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Changwon City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
31.08.2025 Changwon City Changwon City 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
02.05.2025 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-1 HT 1-1 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
17.03.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 0-1 HT 0-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
11.08.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 2-4 HT 0-2 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
15.04.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 2-1 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
23.09.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
POST-MATCH Daejeon Korail vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Korail squeezed past Changwon City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Daejeon Korail found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Korail had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Daejeon Korail and 0.67 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Daejeon Korail vs Changwon City?

Daejeon Korail 1-0 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Korail vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Korail win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Korail 38%, draw 30%, Changwon City 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daejeon Korail), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Daejeon Korail) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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