Gyeongju HNP 2-2 Ulsan Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+2.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 23%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.33/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.30
-20% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongju HNP
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ulsan Citizen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
08.11.2025 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-2 HT 2-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
28.06.2025 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 3-4 HT 1-4 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
25.08.2024 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-4 HT 0-2 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
28.04.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-2 HT 1-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
01.07.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
18.03.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
POST-MATCH Gyeongju HNP vs Ulsan Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP and Ulsan Citizen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Gyeongju HNP carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gyeongju HNP and 1.67 for Ulsan Citizen.

What was the final score of Gyeongju HNP vs Ulsan Citizen?

Gyeongju HNP 2-2 Ulsan Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongju HNP vs Ulsan Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Gyeongju HNP 57%, draw 22%, Ulsan Citizen 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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