Ulsan Citizen 3-4 Gyeongju HNP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+3.3pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
48%
Away Win
56%
-7.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.9pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 60%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -22%
1.02/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.96
-9% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
216 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Citizen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gyeongju HNP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
25.08.2024 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-4 HT 0-2 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
28.04.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-2 HT 1-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
01.07.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
18.03.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
20.08.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-0 HT 1-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
23.04.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-2 HT 0-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
POST-MATCH Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP squeezed past Ulsan Citizen 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gyeongju HNP as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ulsan Citizen and 1.67 for Gyeongju HNP.

What was the final score of Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?

Ulsan Citizen 3-4 Gyeongju HNP in the South Kore - K3 League on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Citizen 22%, draw 30%, Gyeongju HNP 48%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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