Busan Transportation 2-1 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.23/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.91
+12% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan Transportation
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Changwon City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
21.07.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-1 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
07.04.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 2-1 HT 1-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
27.10.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 1-2 HT 1-2 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
02.06.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 0-1 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
27.08.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 1-1 HT 1-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
15.07.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 1-1 HT 1-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
POST-MATCH Busan Transportation vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan Transportation nicked a narrow win over Changwon City 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Busan Transportation made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Busan Transportation and 1.17 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Busan Transportation vs Changwon City?

Busan Transportation 2-1 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan Transportation vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan Transportation win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Busan Transportation 36%, draw 29%, Changwon City 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan Transportation) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Busan Transportation) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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