Gyeongju HNP 2-2 Ulsan Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -18%
1.19/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.30
-22% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongju HNP
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ulsan Citizen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
28.06.2025 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 3-4 HT 1-4 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
25.08.2024 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-4 HT 0-2 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
28.04.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-2 HT 1-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
01.07.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
18.03.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
20.08.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-0 HT 1-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Gyeongju HNP vs Ulsan Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP and Ulsan Citizen couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gyeongju HNP at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gyeongju HNP and 1.33 for Ulsan Citizen.

What was the final score of Gyeongju HNP vs Ulsan Citizen?

Gyeongju HNP 2-2 Ulsan Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongju HNP vs Ulsan Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gyeongju HNP 50%, draw 28%, Ulsan Citizen 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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