Changwon City 3-0 Busan Transportation — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.30/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.53
-3% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Busan Transportation
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
28.06.2025 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-1 HT 0-1 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
21.07.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-1 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
07.04.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 2-1 HT 1-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
27.10.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 1-2 HT 1-2 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
02.06.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 0-1 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
27.08.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 1-1 HT 1-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Busan Transportation
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City swept aside Busan Transportation 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Changwon City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan Transportation led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Changwon City and 1.33 for Busan Transportation.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Busan Transportation?

Changwon City 3-0 Busan Transportation in the South Kore - K3 League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Busan Transportation?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 46%, draw 23%, Busan Transportation 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changwon City) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Changwon City) ✗ BTTS Yes
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