Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.73
No
39%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.75
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
2.95
6+ Goals
13%
9.41
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.95 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
54%
+6.7pp
39%
BTTS No
46%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -21%
1.83/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.83
+30% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 83%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
16.8 Crosses 15.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
1W-3D-2L
AWAY JEF United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.02.2026 JEF United JEF United 0-0 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
21.07.2021 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JPK
08.11.2009 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-2 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP
22.03.2009 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
08.06.2008 JEF United JEF United 3-2 HT 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JLK
23.07.2005 JEF United JEF United 1-0 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
2-1
AWAY JEF United
0.89 xG 1.02
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
357 Passes 422
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
26 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale squeezed past JEF United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kawasaki Frontale as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 47% of the ball to JEF United's 53%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.89 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JEF United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.33 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United?

Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 JEF United in the Japan - J1 League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 53%, draw 26%, JEF United 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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