Shimizu S-Pulse 0-2 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
1.38/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.23
+4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 79%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
18.0 Crosses 16.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.89 xG 0.97
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
377 Passes 316
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2026 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
21.06.2025 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
03.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-3 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
10.07.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-2 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
21.05.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
23.04.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
0-2
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus beat Shimizu S-Pulse 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nagoya Grampus as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 49% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 51%, shots finished 5-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.33 for Nagoya Grampus.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus?

Shimizu S-Pulse 0-2 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 33%, draw 26%, Nagoya Grampus 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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