Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 21 Jun 2025

Nagoya Grampus
1-1 HT 0-0
Shimizu S-Pulse
📅21/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
4.25
6+ Goals
8%
21.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 33% vs market 31.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.57
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
10%
5.18
X/2
12%
6.0
X/X
14%
4.19
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
12%
4.47
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nagoya Grampus v Shimizu S-Pulse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 36%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.25/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.27
-8% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
15.9 Crosses 17.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0

Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.90 xG 0.89
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
363 Passes 396
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-3 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
10.07.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-2 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
21.05.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
23.04.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
23.02.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JLK
29.08.2021 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP

Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
1-1
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
0.71 xG 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
285 Passes 369
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus and Shimizu S-Pulse couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nagoya Grampus at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 45% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 55%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.71 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 0.67 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 42%, draw 27%, Shimizu S-Pulse 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nagoya Grampus), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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