Kawasaki Frontale 1-2 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 29% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.7
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
13%
5.71
X/2
14%
5.95
X/X
11%
4.69
2/1
10%
27.5
2/2
10%
3.93
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+6.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.51/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.14
+7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 81%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
17.2 Crosses 19.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 1.37
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
355 Passes 292
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.04.2025 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
07.08.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-0 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
16.06.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
17.02.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale Japonya - SUper Kupa
12.08.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
22.07.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-2 HT 0-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
1-2
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.00 xG 0.90
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
392 Passes 205
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe nicked a narrow win over Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kawasaki Frontale at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 60% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 40%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.00 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.00 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe?

Kawasaki Frontale 1-2 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 44%, draw 26%, Vissel Kobe 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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