Yokohama F. Marinos 0-1 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 21 Jun 2025

Yokohama F. Marinos
0-1 HT 0-1
Fagiano Okayama
📅21/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.42
6+ Goals
9%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 34% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.09
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
15%
5.1
X/2
7%
6.77
X/X
14%
4.78
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
18%
4.79
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.4pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yokohama F. Marinos v Fagiano Okayama — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.51/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.20
+26% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
446 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
19.5 Crosses 22.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.6

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.85 xG 0.84
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
466 Passes 148
85% Pass Accuracy 63%
27 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
29.03.2025 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP

Yokohama F. Marinos 0-1 Fagiano Okayama — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
0-1
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
1.59 xG 0.91
75% Ball Possession 25%
20 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 6
496 Passes 121
88% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fagiano Okayama edged past Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Fagiano Okayama found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 75% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 25%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.59 to 0.91 — on chances, Yokohama F. Marinos could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama?

Yokohama F. Marinos 0-1 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J1 League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 38%, draw 28%, Fagiano Okayama 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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