Cerezo Osaka 2-1 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.7pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.46/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.87
-6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
20.5 Crosses 16.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.74 xG 1.11
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
588 Passes 204
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.04.2025 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
06.07.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
09.03.2024 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-1 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
26.06.2016 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
23.11.2015 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-0 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
08.03.2015 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka
2-1
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
1.09 xG 0.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
370 Passes 439
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka edged past Tokyo Verdy 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cerezo Osaka as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka had 47% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 53%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 1.09 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 0.67 for Tokyo Verdy.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy?

Cerezo Osaka 2-1 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerezo Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka 41%, draw 27%, Tokyo Verdy 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerezo Osaka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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