Machida Zelvia 2-1 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.13
6+ Goals
10%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.76
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
17%
4.44
X/2
11%
7.45
X/X
13%
4.45
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
9%
6.05
2/X
8%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +18%
1.49/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.31
-19% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
22.3 Crosses 18.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.93 xG 0.74
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
203 Passes 308
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2025 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 1-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
08.12.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-1 HT 3-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
22.05.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-0 HT 2-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JLK
09.03.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-0 HT 1-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
2-1
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.69 xG 1.41
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
182 Passes 432
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia squeezed past Kashima Antlers 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Machida Zelvia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 34% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 66%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.69 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Machida Zelvia and 1.00 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Kashima Antlers?

Machida Zelvia 2-1 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 44%, draw 27%, Kashima Antlers 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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