Avispa Fukuoka 3-2 Albirex Niigata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.16
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.54
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.92
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.8
X/1
15%
5.14
X/2
11%
5.68
X/X
13%
3.65
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
13%
4.55
2/X
8%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.2pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.0pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -17%
0.87/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.25
-33% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -7%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
17.0 Crosses 15.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Albirex Niigata
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.63 xG 1.14
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
231 Passes 585
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
19 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.04.2025 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-1 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
17.08.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
25.05.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-2 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
18.08.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
24.05.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-2 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
15.04.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 3-2 HT 0-2 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
3-2
AWAY Albirex Niigata
1.10 xG 0.58
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
224 Passes 573
79% Pass Accuracy 91%
24 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Albirex Niigata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka squeezed past Albirex Niigata 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Avispa Fukuoka made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 31% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 69%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.10 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.17 for Albirex Niigata.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Albirex Niigata?

Avispa Fukuoka 3-2 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - J1 League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Albirex Niigata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avispa Fukuoka win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 40%, draw 29%, Albirex Niigata 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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