Albirex Niigata 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.79
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.79
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
10%
4.99
X/2
16%
5.83
X/X
13%
3.57
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
14%
4.8
2/X
10%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-6.1pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.7pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.2pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +20%
1.08/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.85
-2% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +64%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
385 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.4 Crosses 19.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.18 xG 0.58
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
575 Passes 222
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
25.05.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-2 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
18.08.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
24.05.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-2 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
15.04.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 3-2 HT 0-2 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
08.03.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata
0-1
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
0.96 xG 0.83
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
626 Passes 263
90% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 25
31 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka edged past Albirex Niigata 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Avispa Fukuoka found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Albirex Niigata had 67% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 33%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.96 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Albirex Niigata and 1.17 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Albirex Niigata 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avispa Fukuoka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 32%, draw 30%, Avispa Fukuoka 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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