Kashiwa Reysol 3-3 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 32% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.75
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
12%
4.58
X/2
13%
7.65
X/X
13%
4.44
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
13%
6.05
2/X
8%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +22%
1.28/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.34
-20% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
18.1 Crosses 17.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 0.88
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
245 Passes 260
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-1 HT 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
26.06.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-2 HT 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
25.02.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
06.08.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
29.04.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
06.08.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-2 HT 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
3-3
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
2.57 xG 2.31
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
491 Passes 216
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
42 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol and Kyoto Sanga couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kashiwa Reysol at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 65% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 35%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.57 to 2.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.00 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga?

Kashiwa Reysol 3-3 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 41%, draw 27%, Kyoto Sanga 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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