Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.45
Over 2.5
45%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.02
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
5.57
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.9pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
65%
-10.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
35%
+10.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 32%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -12%
1.05/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.98
-61% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +48%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
22.1 Crosses 19.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fagiano Okayama
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 0.66
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
439 Passes 210
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
32 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2026 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 HT 0-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP
15.06.2025 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-1 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
25.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 HT 1-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP
02.12.2020 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-1 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP2
25.07.2020 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 1-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
21.09.2019 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 HT 0-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fagiano Okayama
2-0
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.13 xG 0.46
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
196 Passes 341
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fagiano Okayama saw off Avispa Fukuoka 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fagiano Okayama as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 39% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 61%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 1.13 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 1.00 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 45%, draw 27%, Avispa Fukuoka 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fagiano Okayama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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