Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Cerezo Osaka — Team-Based Signals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Cerezo Osaka
JAP
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Cerezo Osaka — Actual Match Statistics
Sanfrecce Hiroshima nicked a narrow win over Cerezo Osaka 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 59% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 41%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.29 to 0.93 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sanfrecce Hiroshima's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.67 for Cerezo Osaka.
What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 57%, draw 21%, Cerezo Osaka 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.