Cerezo Osaka 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
51%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
51%
Away Win
47%
+3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 51%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.22/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.95
+0% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
19.7 Crosses 24.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 1.55
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
317 Passes 301
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-1 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
06.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 HT 1-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
11.08.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
26.05.2024 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
21.10.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
29.04.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka
1-2
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.84 xG 1.27
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
332 Passes 287
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima squeezed past Cerezo Osaka 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka had 52% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 48%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.84 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 1.17 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Cerezo Osaka 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka 27%, draw 23%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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