Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.3pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -9%
1.44/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.07
+10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +41%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
21.6 Crosses 18.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
211 Passes 247
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2025 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
09.03.2025 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
07.07.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
11.05.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-3 HT 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
26.08.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-0 HT 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
09.04.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
2-0
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
2.31 xG 0.47
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 5
248 Passes 169
71% Pass Accuracy 62%
25 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga beat Avispa Fukuoka 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kyoto Sanga as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 56% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 44%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 2.31 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 1.50 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 47%, draw 30%, Avispa Fukuoka 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kyoto Sanga), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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