Mito HollyHock 1-1 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.62
Over 2.5
53%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
58%
-11.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
42%
+11.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.6pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
1W-2D-3L
AWAY JEF United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
383 Passes 271
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2025 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-1 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
05.04.2025 JEF United JEF United 2-1 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
07.09.2024 JEF United JEF United 4-0 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
24.03.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-0 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
08.10.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 1-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
11.06.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 4-1 HT 1-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
1-1
AWAY JEF United
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock and JEF United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Mito HollyHock at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 45% of the ball to JEF United's 55%, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, JEF United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mito HollyHock and 1.50 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs JEF United?

Mito HollyHock 1-1 JEF United in the Japan - J1 League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mito HollyHock win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 47%, draw 25%, JEF United 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mito HollyHock), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mito HollyHock) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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