JEF United 4-0 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 30% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.83/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.21
+6% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
423 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 14.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
228 Passes 347
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.03.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-0 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
08.10.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 1-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
11.06.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 4-1 HT 1-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
02.10.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-1 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
29.05.2022 JEF United JEF United 2-1 HT 2-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
07.11.2021 JEF United JEF United 2-2 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
4-0
AWAY Mito HollyHock
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
346 Passes 288
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United swept aside Mito HollyHock 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had JEF United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, JEF United had 55% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 45%, shots finished 18-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JEF United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for JEF United and 1.33 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Mito HollyHock?

JEF United 4-0 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J2 League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split JEF United 48%, draw 26%, Mito HollyHock 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JEF United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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