Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 Sportivo Trinidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.6pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.01/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.79
-15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2026 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
17.10.2025 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
02.08.2025 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
16.04.2025 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
02.02.2025 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
03.11.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2-1
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno nicked a narrow win over Sportivo Trinidense 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sportivo Trinidense at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 38% of the ball to Sportivo Trinidense's 62%, shots finished 9-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Luqueno had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 0.67 for Sportivo Trinidense.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 Sportivo Trinidense in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportivo Trinidense win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 30%, draw 25%, Sportivo Trinidense 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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