Cerro Porteno 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.99
No
45%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
46%
+8.9pp
45%
BTTS No
54%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +18%
1.19/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.20
-22% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
Crosses 28.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.02.2026 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
21.09.2025 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
12.07.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
22.05.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
17.03.2025 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
22.09.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
1-1
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno and Sportivo Ameliano shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 45% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 55%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cerro Porteno and 0.00 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Cerro Porteno 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 46%, draw 27%, Sportivo Ameliano 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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