Cerro Porteno 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.0pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.74/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.52
-4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
261 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
34.0 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.07.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
22.05.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
17.03.2025 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
22.09.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
02.08.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
15.04.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 3-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
2-0
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno saw off Sportivo Ameliano 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 65% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 35%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cerro Porteno and 0.00 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Cerro Porteno 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 56%, draw 26%, Sportivo Ameliano 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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