Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.9pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 50%
+14% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.18/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.07
+17% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.05.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
17.03.2025 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
22.09.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
02.08.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
15.04.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 3-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
26.01.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-4 HT 1-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
0-1
AWAY Cerro Porteno
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno squeezed past Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 45% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 55%, shots finished 4-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.83 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?

Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 28%, draw 29%, Cerro Porteno 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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