Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 26 Feb 2026

📅26/02/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 48%
+13% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.12/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.94
+8% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
12.07.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
22.05.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
17.03.2025 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
22.09.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
02.08.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
0-1
AWAY Cerro Porteno
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno edged past Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 47% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 53%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.17 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?

Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 26/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 28%, draw 25%, Cerro Porteno 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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