Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 39%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
0.93/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.11
-19% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
195 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
03.11.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
24.08.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 3-2 HT 1-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
05.06.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-6 HT 1-3 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
28.03.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
31.10.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
1-0
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno edged past Sportivo Trinidense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Sportivo Luqueno made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 46% of the ball to Sportivo Trinidense's 54%, shots finished 18-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.83 for Sportivo Trinidense.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportivo Trinidense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 33%, draw 28%, Sportivo Trinidense 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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