Nacional Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional Asuncion v Cerro Porteno — Team-Based Signals
Nacional Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Cerro Porteno
PAR
Nacional Asuncion 1-3 Cerro Porteno — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro Porteno beat Nacional Asuncion 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Cerro Porteno found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 48% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 52%, shots finished 8-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 1.83 for Cerro Porteno.
What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno?
Nacional Asuncion 1-3 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 30%, draw 30%, Cerro Porteno 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.