Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro Porteno v Nacional Asuncion — Team-Based Signals
Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Cerro Porteno
PAR
1-1
HT 1-0
Nacional Asuncion
PAR
Cerro Porteno 3-1 Nacional Asuncion — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro Porteno beat Nacional Asuncion 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Cerro Porteno had 54% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 46%, shots finished 21-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cerro Porteno and 0.83 for Nacional Asuncion.
What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion?
Cerro Porteno 3-1 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 43%, draw 26%, Nacional Asuncion 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.