Chiangrai United 2-0 Bangkok United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 51%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
0.82/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.75
-10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
252 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
15.1 Crosses 18.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chiangrai United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Bangkok United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.69 xG 1.18
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
182 Passes 443
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2025 Bangkok United Bangkok United 1-1 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
08.03.2025 Bangkok United Bangkok United 3-2 HT 2-2 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
27.10.2024 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-2 HT 1-2 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
09.03.2024 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-1 HT 0-1 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
08.10.2023 Bangkok United Bangkok United 2-1 HT 0-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
04.03.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-2 HT 1-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chiangrai United
2-0
AWAY Bangkok United
0.48 xG 0.85
24% Ball Possession 76%
5 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 11
91 Passes 396
62% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 25
7 Crosses 49
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chiangrai United vs Bangkok United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chiangrai United saw off Bangkok United 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bangkok United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Chiangrai United had 24% of the ball to Bangkok United's 76%, shots finished 5-20, expected goals 0.48 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bangkok United led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chiangrai United and 1.83 for Bangkok United.

What was the final score of Chiangrai United vs Bangkok United?

Chiangrai United 2-0 Bangkok United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chiangrai United vs Bangkok United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chiangrai United 30%, draw 28%, Bangkok United 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bangkok United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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