Bodens BK 3-1 Algarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
72%
1.11
Draw
17%
8.11
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
28%
Over
72%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.99
No
43%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
14%
2-3
32%
4-5
37%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Bodens BK win — 72%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
85%
-12.6pp
17%
Draw
9%
+8.1pp
11%
Away Win
6%
+4.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
46%
+10.8pp
43%
BTTS No
54%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodens BK EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Algarna EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.84/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/3.95
-1% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -31%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
466 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodens BK
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Algarna
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10.09.2022 Bodens BK Bodens BK 3-2 HT 2-1 Algarna Algarna İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Bodens BK vs Algarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodens BK saw off Algarna 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bodens BK as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Bodens BK vs Algarna?

Bodens BK 3-1 Algarna in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodens BK vs Algarna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodens BK win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Bodens BK 72%, draw 17%, Algarna 11%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodens BK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bodens BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
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