Fremantle City 4-3 Perth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 May 2024

Fremantle City
4-3 HT 2-0
Perth
📅25/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Fremantle City vs Perth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.96
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.33
No
42%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.6pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.4pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-7.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
71%
-13.1pp
42%
BTTS No
29%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fremantle City v Perth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fremantle City EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth EU Bookmakers 42%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.33
+18% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
410 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.7
POST-MATCH Fremantle City vs Perth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremantle City nicked a narrow win over Perth 4-3. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Fremantle City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Fremantle City vs Perth?

Fremantle City 4-3 Perth in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fremantle City vs Perth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fremantle City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fremantle City 40%, draw 29%, Perth 31%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fremantle City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fremantle City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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