Elche 2-0 Malaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 25 May 2025

Elche
2-0 HT 0-0
Malaga
📅25/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.2pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.9pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.9pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Malaga EU Bookmakers 15%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
1.52/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.68
-25% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
25.5 Crosses 15.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elche
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Malaga
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.35 xG 1.35
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
277 Passes 346
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Malaga Malaga 0-3 HT 0-1 Elche Elche İS2
01.02.2020 Elche Elche 2-0 HT 1-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
24.11.2019 Malaga Malaga 3-3 HT 1-2 Elche Elche İS2
08.06.2019 Malaga Malaga 3-0 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS2
19.10.2018 Elche Elche 2-0 HT 1-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
03.05.2015 Malaga Malaga 1-2 HT 0-1 Elche Elche İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche
2-0
AWAY Malaga
1.75 xG 0.41
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
414 Passes 313
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 6
23 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Elche vs Malaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche got the better of Malaga 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Elche as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Elche had 57% of the ball to Malaga's 43%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.75 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elche had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Elche and 1.17 for Malaga.

What was the final score of Elche vs Malaga?

Elche 2-0 Malaga in the Spain - 2nd Division on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche vs Malaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Elche 57%, draw 24%, Malaga 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elche), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elche) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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