Real Zaragoza 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.33/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.63
-31% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
25.2 Crosses 13.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Zaragoza
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.52 xG 1.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
365 Passes 378
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
23.02.2020 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
08.12.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-3 HT 0-2 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
04.05.2019 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
16.12.2018 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 3-1 HT 3-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
12.09.2018 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Zaragoza
1-0
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
0.70 xG 0.29
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
186 Passes 443
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Zaragoza vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Zaragoza edged past Deportivo La Coruna 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Zaragoza as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Zaragoza had 33% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 67%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.70 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Zaragoza had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Real Zaragoza and 1.33 for Deportivo La Coruna.

What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Real Zaragoza 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 46%, draw 27%, Deportivo La Coruna 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Zaragoza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Zaragoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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