Sporting Gijon vs Cartagena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Gijon v Cartagena — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Gijon vs Cartagena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
2-1
HT 2-1
Sporting Gijon
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Cartagena
İS2
4-1
HT 1-1
Cartagena
İS2
Sporting Gijon 3-2 Cartagena — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Gijon nicked a narrow win over Cartagena 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Gijon as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Sporting Gijon had 68% of the ball to Cartagena's 32%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 2.26 to 1.46.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cartagena led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting Gijon and 0.83 for Cartagena.
What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Cartagena?
Sporting Gijon 3-2 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Cartagena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 55%, draw 24%, Cartagena 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Gijon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.