Avai vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avai v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals
Avai vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Avai
BR2
1-4
HT 0-1
Chapecoense
BR2
2-0
HT 0-0
Avai
BRCAT1
0-1
HT 0-0
Chapecoense
BRCAT1
Avai 2-1 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics
Avai edged past Chapecoense 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Avai as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Avai had 45% of the ball to Chapecoense's 55%, shots finished 20-16, expected goals 2.67 to 0.96 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Avai's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chapecoense led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Avai and 1.33 for Chapecoense.
What was the final score of Avai vs Chapecoense?
Avai 2-1 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie B on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avai vs Chapecoense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Avai 45%, draw 27%, Chapecoense 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.