FK Tukums 2000 2-5 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
9.57
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
61%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
7%
+14.3pp
18%
Draw
14%
+3.8pp
61%
Away Win
79%
-18.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 84%
+12% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
0.99/2.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/0.70
+17% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -6%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
222 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 453 · 84%
12.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.8
10.1 Crosses 27.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Rigas Skola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.96 xG 2.69
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
206 Passes 437
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 49
10 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-0 HT 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
27.07.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-4 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
25.05.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-1 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
12.04.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-0 HT 3-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
21.10.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 4-5 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
20.09.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-3 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LETK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
2-5
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.56 xG 2.21
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
203 Passes 447
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola cruised past FK Tukums 2000 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 35% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 65%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 0.56 to 2.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 3.33 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Rigas Skola?

FK Tukums 2000 2-5 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 22%, draw 18%, Rigas Skola 61%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5
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