BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFC Daugavpils v FS Jelgava — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
BFC Daugavpils 1-0 FS Jelgava — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils squeezed past FS Jelgava 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 29% — and on the day BFC Daugavpils made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 40% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 60%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.19 to 1.66 — the balance of chances actually favoured FS Jelgava.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 0.67 for FS Jelgava.
What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?
BFC Daugavpils 1-0 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?
Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 40%, draw 30%, FS Jelgava 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFC Daugavpils), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.